VMP-004 - Create market - ETH/USDT Future - 2023/06/30

VMP-004 - Create market - ETH/USDT Future - 2023/06/30

This is a quarterly ETH/USDT futures contract expiring on 2023/06/30 08:00:00 UTC time on Vega network.

Market Summary:

Name:
ETH/USDT expiry 2023 June 30th

Settlement asset:
USDT

Rationale:
ETH is the second largest Crypto asset with the highest volume and Marketcap.

Market Details:

Instrument:
ETH/USDT-230630

Settlement data source:
CoinbaseOracle

Risk model:
Lognormal Risk Model

Liquidity monitoring parameters:

{
    "targetStakeParameters": {
        "timeWindow": "3600",
        "scalingFactor": 1
    },
    "triggeringRatio": "0.7",
    "auctionExtension": "1"
}

Price monitoring parameters:

{
  "triggers": [
    {
      "horizon": "3600",
      "probability": "0.9999",
      "auctionExtension": "120"
    },
    {
      "horizon": "14400",
      "probability": "0.9999",
      "auctionExtension": "180"
    },
    {
      "horizon": "43200",
      "probability": "0.9999",
      "auctionExtension": "300"
    }
  ]
}

Proposal JSON:

{
    "proposalSubmission": {
        "reference": "ETH/USDT-230630",
        "terms": {
            "closingTimestamp": "1684933200",
            "enactmentTimestamp": "1684936800",
            "newMarket": {
                "changes": {
                    "instrument": {
                        "name": "ETH/USDT expiry 2023 June 30th",
                        "code": "ETH/USDT-230630",
                        "future": {
                            "settlementAsset": "bf1e88d19db4b3ca0d1d5bdb73718a01686b18cf731ca26adedf3c8b83802bba",
                            "quoteName": "USDT",
                            "dataSourceSpecForSettlementData": {
                                "external": {
                                    "oracle": {
                                        "signers": [
                                            {
                                                "ethAddress": {
                                                    "address": "0xfCEAdAFab14d46e20144F48824d0C09B1a03F2BC"
                                                }
                                            }
                                        ],
                                        "filters": [
                                            {
                                                "key": {
                                                    "name": "prices.ETH.value",
                                                    "type": "TYPE_INTEGER",
                                                    "numberDecimalPlaces": "6"
                                                },
                                                "conditions": [
                                                    {
                                                        "operator": "OPERATOR_GREATER_THAN",
                                                        "value": "0"
                                                    }
                                                ]
                                            },
                                            {
                                                "key": {
                                                    "name": "prices.ETH.timestamp",
                                                    "type": "TYPE_TIMESTAMP"
                                                },
                                                "conditions": [
                                                    {
                                                        "operator": "OPERATOR_GREATER_THAN_OR_EQUAL",
                                                        "value": "1688112000"
                                                    }
                                                ]
                                            }
                                        ]
                                    }
                                }
                            },
                            "dataSourceSpecForTradingTermination": {
                                "internal": {
                                    "time": {
                                        "conditions": [
                                            {
                                                "operator": "OPERATOR_GREATER_THAN_OR_EQUAL",
                                                "value": "1688112000"
                                            }
                                        ]
                                    }
                                }
                            },
                            "dataSourceSpecBinding": {
                                "settlementDataProperty": "prices.ETH.value",
                                "tradingTerminationProperty": "vegaprotocol.builtin.timestamp"
                            }
                        }
                    },
                    "metadata": [
                        "base:ETH",
                        "quote:USDT",
                        "class:fx/crypto",
                        "quarterly",
                        "sector:defi",
                        "enactment:2023-05-24T14:00:00Z",
                        "settlement:2023-06-30T08:00:00Z"
                    ],
                    "priceMonitoringParameters": {
                        "triggers": [
                            {
                                "horizon": "3600",
                                "probability": "0.9999",
                                "auctionExtension": "120"
                            },
                            {
                                "horizon": "14400",
                                "probability": "0.9999",
                                "auctionExtension": "180"
                            },
                            {
                                "horizon": "43200",
                                "probability": "0.9999",
                                "auctionExtension": "300"
                            }
                        ]
                    },
                    "liquidityMonitoringParameters": {
                        "targetStakeParameters": {
                            "timeWindow": "3600",
                            "scalingFactor": 1
                        },
                        "triggeringRatio": "0.7",
                        "auctionExtension": "1"
                    },
                    "logNormal": {
                        "riskAversionParameter": 0.000001,
                        "tau": 0.0001140771161,
                        "params": {
                            "sigma": 1.5
                        }
                    },
                    "decimalPlaces": "2",
                    "positionDecimalPlaces": "3",
                    "lpPriceRange": "0.8",
                    "linearSlippageFactor": "0.001",
                    "quadraticSlippageFactor": "0.0"
                }
            }
        },
        "rationale": {
            "description": "## Summary\n\nThis proposal requests to list ETH/USDT-230630 as a market with USDT as a settlement asset on the Vega Network as discussed in: https://community.vega.xyz/.\n\n## Rationale\n\n- ETH is the second largest Crypto asset with the highest volume and Marketcap.\n- Given the price, 2 decimal places will be used for price due to the number of valid digits in asset price. \n- Position decimal places will be set to 3 considering the value per contract\n- USDT is chosen as settlement asset due to its stability.",
            "title": "VMP-004 - Create market - ETH/USDT Future - 2023/06/30"
        }
    }
}

Ran the Market Sim tool I mentioned in the other thread on a couple of days with these parameters, one with relatively low absolute price movement and one with more. Taking the day with less price movement first we see the price stay well within the price bounds

And stays in continuous trading throughout

Naively the price bounds seemed pretty far from the price movement there but looking at the more volatile day (last November) we see the price moved pretty close to the bounds (and actually touched for two brief periods

In both cases it comes out of auction and continues trading.

Assumptions were similar to the runs in BTC/USDT.

1 Like

Updated status to 4 - Vote.

Adding link to proposal here.